Quote:
Originally Posted by Alex Alexzander
All things considered, I see the iPhone as an evolutionary product. I think the Google Android devices, the iPhone, and perhaps even Windows Mobile, will start to take a serious toll on RIM. I'm sure few of you will agree, but that's my opinion none the less.
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iPhone and its amazing user friendly AppStore, is great and RIM needs to match this to compete eventually. The great thing is that RIM is doing exactly that with their new $150M BlackBerry development fund, as well as already introducing quite a few things already in the list.
Some comments:
OmniFocus (better than ToDoMatrix in my opinion) - Various third party now available; improving rapidly
AIM (SMS mostly still)
Splash ID - not familiar
Safari - BlackBerry Bold AJAX browser is not as good, but it does support AJAX which means the goodies such as Google
Photo Album - works great, though need improvement to make sync convenient as iPhone
FaceBook - already here
Loopt - Not familiar
iTrans BART - BlackBerry Bold AJAX browser (Web 2.0 Support Soon)
Ultralingua (dictionary and thesaurus) -
Bejeweled 2 - Fun! May not be till 2009 when RIM adds 3D
Monkey Ball - Fun! May not be till 2009 when RIM adds 3D
MotoRacer - There's a similiar racing game available at
Bplay: BlackBerry Games - BlackBerry Themes - BlackBerry Entertainment
SplashMoney - Clones of
Ms. PackMan - Genuine Namco version now available for BlackBerry at namco.com
Tetris - Available for BlackBerry, various variants
Quick Voice Record - Third party app
AppleTV / iTunes Remote - Third party app
Google Reader - BlackBerry Bold AJAX browser (Web 2.0 Support Soon)
PayPal - Works already
Ebay - Works already
Band of America - BlackBerry Bold AJAX browser (Web 2.0 Support Soon), though I got my online banking working fine in Opera Mini
Mail - already here
Calendar - already here
Address Book - already here
GoogleMaps - already here
Weather - already here
Stocks - already here, see
http://www.etrade.com/mobile
Other examples - there are some third party superior PDF viewer software already for the BlackBerry with page layout that looks exactly like the PDF viewer on the iPhone (although it doesn't have the great pinch-zoom capability of iPhone). I am expecting that by 2009, genuine Adobe Acrobat Reader and other native stuff will be available for BlackBerry -- so you can approve that PDF.
You are right, RIM gets a F grade (flunk) for user-friendly availability of software. Most people don't know you can do Excel Macros in a specific BlackBerry spreadsheet from Handango, to things like getting perfect PDF viewing using a third party program that replaces the crappy PDF viewer built into BlackBerry, etc. But as BlackBerry brings their own Application Store by 2009 (this is a guesstimate date, I'm speculating, but there are many rumors of an Application Store of some kind).
By 2009, there should be a much better online application store by RIM, once the new $150 million development fund gradually works its way to tangible public benefit. They are reacting already, with all guns blazing.
Also, the new toushcreen BlackBerry is multitouch (Yes! Pinch zoom on BlackBerry! Yes!) with haptic capability, RIM is planning to make it touchscreen thumb keyboard better than iPhone. RIM concedes that they won't be able to beat Safari (yet), but they are rapidly working on adding AJAX (Web 2.0 support), so you can access all the fancy sites on a BlackBerry Bold eventually!
And did you know, you can get iTunes synchronization (non-DRM only) and album flipping in a iPod knockoff player called FlipSide MP3 player (third party). This is yet another example of the F grade that Research in Motion gets for user-friendly availability of consumer software to consumers, but RIM is already working at fixing this problem.
iPhone is great competition for RIM, and it has woken up the sleeping giant within RIM. Keep an eye on them! They don't intend to slip away.
My year 2005 "predictions" ended up actually pretty accurate:
Circa 2005: Mark Rejhon's Top 7 Most Important BlackBerry Requests for RIM's Growth Success Out of the 7, six of them actually improved massively. The only real "flunk" I give RIM out of my 2005 list, is "More Organized Software Catalogs", while others get a resounding passing or need-improvement grade.
Based on my research and precedent, my Year 2008 and Year 2009 Predictions:
- BlackBerry's own equivalent of AppStore (late '08, early '09)
- Web 2.0 AJAX capability (late '08)
- Touchscreen BlackBerry, with multi-touch and haptic capability (late '08, early '09)
- 3D hardware graphics (sometime '09)
- Better RIM developer API (sometime '09)
- Free development, no signing fee (late '08, early '09); expect a massive development boom.
These are predictions, I have no inside knowledge, but my past predictions about RIM has seemed to be remarkably accurate as you can see in the year 2005 thread. (Consider that cameras and memory card slots in a BlackBerry was a pipe dream in 2005). Considering the accuracy of my past BlackBerry predictions, I guess I should become a BlackBerry analyst -- LOL -- but I'm just a multiplatform mobile devices developer (Windows Mobile C++/C#, BlackBerry Java, and soon iPhone C++)
Also, BlackBerry has some time. Apple will be copying other features. I predict:
- Copy and paste in upcoming iPhone software upgarde;
- Tethering with laptop for Internet. iPhone doesn't do this yet.
- More expanded Bluetooth. iPhone doesn't support Bluetooth keyboards, etc.
- Better administration support, ala BES. iPhone is chasing this.
Apple will catch up, but while Apple's catching up, RIM has time to catch up to iPhone. See my 2008 and 2009 predictions above. Leapfrog mania.
Even if the guesstimate dates I said were incorrect, all the above is almost guaranteed to happen,
eventually -- market forces is pushing RIM in that direction, and RIM appears to be following the moving target much better than it used to be. BlackBerry will never be an iPhone, but they aren't going to lose marketshare very easily. If at all, iPhone made BlackBerry far more popular at the local high school and university, especially with television commercials and the aggressive marketing of BlackBerry to consumers with cheap BlackBerry plans and stuff liike that: More people have suddenly discovered BlackBerries, and some of them prefer them over iPhone. It's PC versus Mac in some communities already. Tons of churn happening. BlackBerry users switching to iPhone. Other iPhone users switching to BlackBerry. But RIM isn't yielding; the SmartPhone pie is growing bigger very quickly and RIM intends to be the Next Nokia. They have less than 2% of the world's cellphone market and iPhone still has less than 1%. BlackBerry Curve is already boring 2-year-old technology, please don't compare a Curve to iPhone 3G. It is true that Apple marketshare is growing much faster than RIM's marketshare, but RIM's marketshare growth has suddenly accelerated thanks to iPhone, and RIM shareholders are very happy about iPhone right now: The CEO of RIM, Lazardis has said iPhone has been the best thing happening to RIM lately.